Monday, October 15, 2012

Opinion Polls- Do They Really Work?

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

"Americans' Views of Obama More Polarized as Election Nears -Ninety percent of Democrats, 8% of Republicans approve of him

by Jeffrey M. Jones
PRINCETON, NJ -- Thus far in October, an average of 90% of Democrats,
and 8% of Republicans, approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as
 president. That 82-percentage-point gap in approval ratings by party is
 on pace to be the largest Gallup has measured for a recent incumbent
 president in the final month before Americans vote on his re-election. "

 Be specific as to why polling may influence you're vote or your opinion.  Explain your reasons why.

14 comments:

  1. President Obama is currently approved by 90% of democrats and 8% of republicans as of October. Obama is on pace to having the largest rating Gallup has measured. The final month of elections is nearing and Obamas is at 82 point gap. George Bush had a gap of 80 points in approval. Gallup has rated Obama thoughout the first three years most polarized. For the fourth year, his rating has been 85% of democrats to 10% of republicans. Gallup states the this rating is common in the fourth year as the president will most likely seek realection.

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  2. Polling may influence peoples opinion because of the logos it creates. When I see percentages and all types of statistics I look at it as something official. Others may have the same response and may decide to follow everyone else and vote for the one in favor in the poll. But in the end I don't think poll's the majority of times really reflects the final outcome of something. Like the debate turned in favor of Romney maybe this next debate will do it for Obama. Most people sadly are not very well informed about WHO they are actually voting for and what that candidate is going to do for the country.

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    1. I agree with Leticia, people are more likely to be influenced by an outside source(in this case polls)than the actual event or situation. Despite people's personal view or opinions on who they are electing, once they see a percentage it becomes like a propaganda of some sort. It almost lures them to vote or go for the majority.

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  3. Personally, I don't think opinion polls work very well. Although they poll from a large group of people in varied locations, they can't poll every person that is eligible to vote. Because of this, I don't think the opinion polls are necessarily totally accurate. I'm sure they are close to the truth, but there is a slight inaccuracy in their information and this could actually change the results to make the percentages in the others' favor. Also, when people see the opinion polls, it's very likely that this influences their opinion. If someone is thinking about voting for Obama and then they see a poll that says most people are in favor of Romney, unless they're very strongly in favor of Obama, these results that they see may influence them. They might want to know why people don't like Obama. In doing research on why people don't like Obama, he would find a lot of Pro-Romney websites saying how awful Obama is and how fantastic Romney is. This would absolutely impact the person's opinion and s/he may decide to vote for the other party. This is just one example, but I believe that opinion polls can sway the opinions of those looking at them for many reasons.

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    1. I agree with Rebecca's opinion because people are voted by groups and not necessarily by all the votes. This can result as an issue because you may live in an area were they are very biest of your idea and your vote will not help to add up with the rest of the votes that are towards the same issue. I personally like Rebecca's idea of having to know the reason why the people are voting for a certain reason that way we all can know that those votes were actually considered before being decided this can result to better votes because voters are more well aware of what they are choosing. The cons is that it will take time to analyze and to approve them all. Poles can definitely affect the way people view situations in this case i can change the way we live for a long time. Presidency poles have affects on millions.

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  4. The polling is the only way to accurately gauge someones popularity in advance of the actual election. It is a good way for the candidates to know where they stand so they can change their campaigning. They are probably mostly accurate. What better choice is there? Even if it's not entirely accurate, it is the best view of the peoples opinion that they have. It probably would not influence my personal vote, as voting is about who you believe in, not giving in to the majority idea. If the candidate that I liked was down, I would probably encourage others to vote for him, as that is who I believe is the best person to lead the country.

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    1. Marissa, Katie, DipalNovember 5, 2012 at 12:41 PM

      Katie, Dipal, and I agree with sherry. Its better to see where each candidate stands then to wonder. The polls will give an accurate reading of who and what is being voted on. This means that we can determine who will become president before it happens

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  5. We honestly think that opinion polls do not matter because people are different when they are by themselves in their own privacy of the booth. When you aren't in the booth you can say things and people around you can accept you, but when you are by yourself. You have privacy to do whatever you want and no one will not judge you.We honestly don't care about what other people think about the candidates. We are going to pick the best one for our future and what we feel like is the best route for America's future. So, no, Opinion polls do not work on us at least.

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  6. Personally i believe Obama has done an amazing job as president, yes there are some things that are not done yet that he has promised us but everyone needs to realize that Obama can't just wake up snap his fingers and make everything work the way we need it to. Obama is the one who wants to better or schools with the government paying for it which is how is should always be, the money for schools needs to come from the government!

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  7. The polling shows who's more popular and that makes people want to vote for that person. That also helps presidents see if they need to improve on their campaign.

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  8. I think that opinion polls are not useful because like it says they are only opinions and maybe the opinions may matter to some people but not all people care about it. I think it would not influence a lot of people who are voting because voting is in what you believe in and not in what other people think. A person must vote not in what other peoples opinion is but in what you, yourself believe is the right thing to do. This is a free country in people will always have opinions on everything. Thats why Opinion Poll shouldn't really matter at all.

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  9. i don't think opinion polls work because i don't think it matters what americas opinion is i think that you don't need to follow others people opinion just because they majority of people agrees with them.

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  10. We believe that opinion polls do not affect people perception of the candidates. Opinion polls are extremely biased and they are always made to influence the independents. If someone actually takes opinion polls into account they shouldn't be able to vote. They should be able to do your own research and vote for themselves. If they go with the opinions of others then they are followers. They should be thinking for themselves.

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  11. In my opinion I believe these polls do work because it does matter what America thinks but at the same time that is all the president's choice on what he wants and what he thinks would be good for this country. Although the opinion polls are affective in a way it still has some inadequate reasons such as not accepting the citizens opinions.

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